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With or Without You?

Dienstag, 29.11.2022

14:00 Uhr

Words of Welcome

Christian HAGEMANN, Executive Director, Southeast Europe Association (Südosteuropa-Gesellschaft – SOG), Munich

Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Program Director, International Affairs, Protestant Academy Loccum

14:15 Uhr

INTRODUCTORY TALK: What Has Shaped the Ties between Turkey and the EU in the Past? How Will the Relation Look Like in the Future?

Günter SEUFERT, Head, Center for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) and Senior Fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), Berlin

15:15 Uhr

Coffee & Cake

15:45 Uhr

PANEL DISCUSSION: How is Turkey Doing? Exploring the Current Situation from Different Perspectives

Impulses on…

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…Ankara’s Foreign Policy

Selin NASI, London Representative of the Ankara Policy Center (APM), Non-Resident Scholar ELIAMEP (Hellenic Foundation for European & Foreign Policy) and Columnist at PolitikYol, London

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… the Socio-Economic Situation in Turkey

Ahmet Erdi ÖZTÜRK, Associate Professor from London Metropolitan University, Marie Curie Fellow at Coventry University (CTPSR) and GIGA (German Institute for Global and Area Studies), London

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… Domestic Politics and the Upcoming Election Campaign

Burak ÇOPUR, Professor and Political Scientist, IU International University (Essen) and Institute for Turkistik, University Duisburg-Essen

16:45 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

17:00 Uhr

Continued Discussion with Panelist in Breakout-Session

17:45 Uhr

FORECAST SESSION: What Might Happen After the Elections in June 2023

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Group I:

What will happen if the AKP wins?

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Group II:

What will happen if the opposition wins?

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Group III:

Is ‘Cohabitation’ possible in Turkey? What happens if the AKP wins the presidential election but loses the parliamentary majority – or the other way around?

18:30 Uhr

Dinner

19:30 Uhr

Forecast Session continues

20:30 Uhr

Brief Presentation & Discussion of Forecast Findings

21:15 Uhr

Informal Get-together

Mittwoch, 30.11.2022

08:15 Uhr

Breakfast

09:30 Uhr

PANEL DISCUSSION: Russia, Turkey and the War in Ukraine: Europe’s Eroded Security Architecture and It’s Implication for the EU-Turkey Relation

Yevgeniya GABER, Senior Fellow at the Centre in Modern Turkish Studies (MTS) and at the Atlantic Council, Odessa

Taha OZHAN, Director of Research, Ankara Institute and Former Chairman of Foreign Affairs Committee of Turkish Parliament, Ankara

Sümbül KAYA, Turkey Research Fellow, Institute de Recherche Stratégique de l’Ecole Militaire, Ministère des Armées, Paris

Manuel SARRAZIN, Germany’s Special Representative for the Countries of the Western Balkans and President of the Southeastern Europe Society, Berlin

Klaus WÖLFER, Diplomat and Austria’s Former Ambassador to Turkey (2012 – 2017), Vienna

11:15 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

11:45 Uhr

BREAKOUT SESSION: Crucial Fields in the EU-Turkish Relations (1st Part)

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Forum I: Disputed Islands and Waters: Conflicts on Gas and Territory in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Aegean Sea

Yücel ACER, Professor of International Law, Yıldırım Beyazıt University, Ankara

Ioannis N. GRIGORIADIS, Head, Turkey Program, Hellenic Foundation of European and Foreign Policy (ELIAMEP) and Associate Professor for European Studies at Bilkent University, Ankara/ Athens

Nigar GÖKSEL, Head of Office, Crisis Group, Istanbul

Arno KIRCHHOF, Head, Turkey Division (208), German Foreign Office, Berlin

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Forum II: Freedom of Press and Rule of Law

Florent DUPLOUY, Legal Advisor, Safety of Journalists Platform, Council of Europe, Strasbourg

Burcu KARAKAS, Investigative Journalist and Turkey correspondent for Germany’s international broadcaster Deutsche Welle, Istanbul

Emma SINCLAIR-WEBB, Associate Director and Turkey Director, Human Rights Watch, Berlin/Istanbul

Kerem ÖKTEM, Senior Fellow, Department of Comparative Cultural Studies, Ca' Foscari University, Venice

12:30 Uhr

Lunch

14:30 Uhr

Breakout Session Part I continues

15:30 Uhr

Coffee & Cake

16:00 Uhr

BREAKOUT SESSION: Crucial Fields in the EU-Turkish Relations (Part II)

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Forum III: From Iraq via Syria to Libya – EU-Turkish Relations in Light of the MENA’s Regions Conflict Zones

Meliha Benli ALTUNISIK, Professor at the Department of International Relations, Middle East Technical University (METU), Non-Resident Fellow at the Middle East Institute (MEI) in D.C., Ankara

Ioannis BEGKOS, Head, Turkey Division, European External Action Service, Brussels

Maria FANTAPPIE, Senior Adviser for MENA, Center for Humanitarian Dialogue, Geneva

Guney YILDIZ, Journalist and Regional Researcher at Amnesty International, London

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Forum IV: The EU-Turkish Policy on Refugees and Migration

Sinem ADAR, Associate, Center for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) and German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), Berlin

Erkut EMCIOGLU, European Stability Initiative (ESI), Istanbul

Angeliki VOTSOGLOU, Policy Officer, Migration and Rule of Law, DG Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations, European Commission, Brussels

Friedrich PÜTTMANN, Researcher, Istanbul Policy Center at Sabancı University, Istanbul/London

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Forum V: Pivot to Asia and Africa: What Consequences Turkey’s Changing Economic Ties Might have on Europe?

Jens BASTIAN, enter for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) and Senior Fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), and Member of Board of the Southeast Europe Society, Berlin

Nebahat Tanrıverdi YASAR, Center for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) and Senior Fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), Berlin

Dilek AYDIN, TUSIAD (Turkish Industry & Business Association) Representative to the EU & BusinessEurope, Brussels

Helke TOLKSDORF, Former Head of the Department EU Enlargement, Eastern Europe and Turkey at the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Member of Board of the Southeast Europe Society, Berlin

Moderation: Hansjörg BREY, Southeast Europe Association; Member of Board of the Southeast Europe Society, Berlin

17:00 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

17:30 Uhr

Breakout Session (Part II) continues

18:30 Uhr

Dinner

19:30 Uhr

EVENING SESSION: Hyper-Connection – Reflecting on the Strong Social, Cultural, and Personal Ties that Link Turkey with Germany beyond Official Relations

Ayşe Utku ERARSLAN, Director, CultureCIVIC, Goethe-Institute, Istanbul

Özcan MUTLU, President of the German-Turkish Twincity Federation, former MdP of the German Bundestag (The Greens) and author of the book “60 Jahre - Wie Deutschland zur Heimat wurde” (Correctiv 2021), Berlin

Osman OKKAN, Journalist, film-maker, and Co-Founder of the KulturForum TürkeiDeutschland e.V., Köln

Moderation: Thomas SCHAD, Historian, Humboldt University Berlin

21:00 Uhr

Informal Get-together

Donnerstag, 01.12.2022

08:30 Uhr

Breakfast

09:30 Uhr

GALLERY WALK: Presentation of the Breakout Sessions’ Results

10:30 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

10:45 Uhr

PANEL DISCUSSION: What Guidelines Shall Shape EU-Turkish Relations in the Years to Come

Food-for-Thought Inputs by:


Ebru TURHAN, Associate professor at the Department of Political Science and International Relations, Turkish-German University (TDU) and Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for European Politics (IEP), Istanbul

Max LUCKS, Member of the Bundestag (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) Chairman of the Human Rights and Humanitarian Aid Committee, Head of the German-Turkey Parliamentarian Group, Berlin


followed by plenum discussion

12:30 Uhr

Farewell Lunch

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*invited

** prel. confirmed