On The Brink?
How to Deal with Nuclear Threats for Europe
Mittwoch, 08.10.2025
| 14:30 Uhr |
Words of Welcome Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Program Director, Protestant Academy Loccum |
| 14:45 Uhr |
KICK-OFF TALK | The Third Nuclear Age: Major Trends, Future Developments and Open Questions Ulrich KÜHN, Head, “Arms Control and Emerging Technologies”, Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH), Hamburg |
| 15:30 Uhr |
Coffee & Cake Break (at the Dining Hall) |
| 16:00 Uhr |
Discussion continues |
| 16:30 Uhr |
Coffee & Tea Break |
| 16:40 Uhr |
POLICY PANEL | The Big Three: Decoding the Nuclear Policies of Russia, China and the United States from a European Perspective |
| - |
INSIGHTS INTO THE SITUATION IN WASHINGTON John MECKLIN, Editor-in-Chief, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Washington D.C. |
| - |
… MOSCOW Andrey BAKLITSKIY, Senior Researcher, Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme, UNIDIR (United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research), Geneva |
| - |
… AND IN BEIJING Tong ZHAO, Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, Washington D.C./Beijing Moderation: Carmen WUNDERLICH, Senior Researcher, Institute for Development and Peace (INEF) at University of Duisburg-Essen and Research Fellow at the Peace Research Center Prague (PRCP) |
| 18:30 Uhr |
Dinner |
| 19:30 Uhr |
POLICY PANEL | How to do it the European Way? Nuclear Deterrence in Europe in Light of Declining US Focus François HEISBOURG, Senior Fellow, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique (FRS), Paris Eirini LEMOS-MANIATI, Head, Arms Control, Disarmament, and Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Nonproliferation Centre (ACDC), HQ NATO, Brussels Tom MCKANE, Distinguished Fellow of the Royal United Services Institute and former Director General for Strategy and Security Policy in the UK Ministry of Defence, London |
| 21:00 Uhr |
Informal get together |
| - |
* invited ** preliminary confirmed |
Donnerstag, 09.10.2025
| 08:30 Uhr |
Breakfast |
| 09:30 Uhr |
BROAD PICTURE TALK | If not Global Zero, then What? Are We Losing Sight of Nuclear Disarmament and Interim Steps on the Way? Ian ANTHONY, Department for Defence Analysis, Strategy and Policy Section at FOI (Swedish Defence Research Agency) and Member of the International Group of Eminent Persons for a World Without Nuclear Weapons, Stockholm Michael RÜHLE, former Head of Section, “Climate, Energy Security and Hybrid Threats“ at the Emerging Security Challenges Division, NATO Headquarter, Brussel Susi SNYDER, Programme Coordinator, International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN), Geneva |
| 10:45 Uhr |
Coffee & Tea Break |
| 11:00 Uhr |
BREAKOUT SESSION PART 1 | Crucial Nuclear Policy Issues – Especially for European Have-Nots |
| - |
FORUM I | The Uncertain Adventure of Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-Proliferation – What Role for the Europeans? Tytti ERÄSTÖ, Senior Researcher, Weapons of Mass Destruction Program, SIPRI (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute), Solna Oliver MEIER, Policy & Research Director, European Leadership Network, Berlin/London Moderation: Tong ZHAO, Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, Washington D.C./Beijing |
| - |
FORUM II | Disruptive? Exploring the Links between Technological Innovation and Future Nuclear (In)Stability Alice SALTINI, AI-Nuclear Policy Advisor, Institute for Security and Technology; Non-Resident Expert on Artificial Intelligence, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies Paul VAN HOOFT, Research Leader, Defence and Security, RAND Europe, The Hague Moderation: Max SCHALZ, Physicist and Researcher at the Nuclear Verification and Disarmament Research Group, RWTH Aachen University |
| 12:30 Uhr |
Lunch |
| 13:20 Uhr |
Sight Seeing Tour Monastery |
| 15:00 Uhr |
Coffee & Cake Break (at the Dining Hall) |
| 15:30 Uhr |
POLICY PANEL | The Future of Iran’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Program – What Role for the Europeans? Stephan KLEMENT, Special Envoy Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, Special Adviser on Iran Nuclear Issues, EEAS, Brussels Mailys MANGIN, Senior Researcher, Centre Interdisciplinaire Sur Les Enjeux Stratégiques (CIENS), Paris Farzan SABET, Managing Researcher of the Sanctions and Sustainable Peace Hub, Geneva Graduate Institute, Geneva |
| 16:45 Uhr |
Coffee & Tea Break |
| 17:00 Uhr |
BREAKOUT SESSION PART 2 | Discussion in Parallel Forums will be continued |
| - |
FORUM III | Bridging the Gaps: Gender, Youth, Global South – How to Increase Inclusiveness in Nuclear Discourse and Decision Making? Jana BALDUS, Policy Fellow at the European Leadership Network (ELN) and Associated Researcher, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), London Carmen WUNDERLICH, Senior Researcher, Institute for Development and Peace (INEF) at University of Duisburg-Essen and Research Fellow at the Peace Research Center Prague (PRCP) Moderation: Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Protestant Academy Loccum |
| - |
FORUM IV | Entry Ticket to the Strategic Competition? Missile Defense and Conventional Deep Strike Capabilities Frank KUHN, Doctoral Researcher, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), Frankfurt a.M. Etienne MARCUZ, Associate Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique (FRS), Paris Moderation: Alexander SORG, Eisenhower Fellow, NATO Defense College, Rom |
| 18:30 Uhr |
Dinner |
| 19:30 Uhr |
BROAD PICTURE TALK | Nuclear Deterrence – Ethical Responsibility or Misconduct? Michael HASPEL, Research Fellow, Martin-Luther Institute and Professor for Systematic Theology at the Friedrich-Schiller University Jena Thomas HAJNOCZI, Advisor to Mayors for Peace, Board Member of BASIC and Former Director for Disarmament, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation at the Austrian Foreign Office, Vienna Lauren SUKIN, John G. Winant Associate Professor of U.S. Foreign Policy in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Oxford |
| 21:00 Uhr |
Informal get together |
| - |
* invited ** preliminary confirmed |
Freitag, 10.10.2025
| 08:30 Uhr |
Breakfast |
| 09:30 Uhr |
BREAKOUT SESSION PART 3 | Discussion in Parallel Forums will be continued |
| - |
FORUM V | Deterrence and Nuclear Sharing in the European Way Artur KACPRZYK, Senior Analyst, International Security Programme, Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM), Warsaw Iryna MAKSYMENKO, Senior Researcher at the Odesa Center for Nonproliferation (OdCNP), Odesa Moderation: Tytti ERÄSTÖ, Senior Researcher, Weapons of Mass Destruction Program, SIPRI (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute), Solna |
| - |
FORUM VI | The People and the Bomb – Popular Views on Atomic Weapons and Different Ways to Increase Nuclear IQ Matthias MADER, Visiting Professor of International Political Studies, University Witten/Herdecke Alexander SORG, Eisenhower Fellow, NATO Defense College, Rom Moderation: Jana Baldus, Policy Fellow at the European Leadership Network (ELN) and Associated Researcher, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), London |
| 11:00 Uhr |
Coffee & Tea Break |
| 11:15 Uhr |
CONCLUDING POLICY PANEL | What Future Role for European Nuclear Have-Nots? Klaus DE RIJK, Senior Strategic Advisor, Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs, The Hague Marian LOSSE, Board Member, ICAN Germany (International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons), Berlin Katrin SHIMIZU, Deputy Head of Division, Nuclear Disarmament, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, German Foreign Office, Berlin |
| 12:30 Uhr |
Farwell Lunch |
| 12:50 Uhr |
Shuttle to Train Station / Airport |
| - |
* invited ** preliminary confirmed |