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On The Brink?

Mittwoch, 08.10.2025

14:30 Uhr

Words of Welcome

Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Program Director, Protestant Academy Loccum

14:45 Uhr

KICK-OFF TALK | The Third Nuclear Age: Major Trends, Future Developments and Open Questions

Ulrich KÜHN, Head, “Arms Control and Emerging Technologies”, Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH), Hamburg

15:30 Uhr

Coffee & Cake Break (at the Dining Hall)

16:00 Uhr

Discussion continues

16:30 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

16:40 Uhr

POLICY PANEL | The Big Three: Decoding the Nuclear Policies of Russia, China and the United States from a European Perspective

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INSIGHTS INTO THE SITUATION IN WASHINGTON

John MECKLIN, Editor-in-Chief, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Washington D.C.

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… MOSCOW

Andrey BAKLITSKIY, Senior Researcher, Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme, UNIDIR (United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research), Geneva

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… AND IN BEIJING

Tong ZHAO, Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, Washington D.C./Beijing


Moderation: Carmen WUNDERLICH, Senior Researcher, Institute for Development and Peace (INEF) at University of Duisburg-Essen and Research Fellow at the Peace Research Center Prague (PRCP)

18:30 Uhr

Dinner

19:30 Uhr

POLICY PANEL | How to do it the European Way? Nuclear Deterrence in Europe in Light of Declining US Focus

François HEISBOURG, Senior Fellow, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique (FRS), Paris

Eirini LEMOS-MANIATI, Head, Arms Control, Disarmament, and Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Nonproliferation Centre (ACDC), HQ NATO, Brussels

Tom MCKANE, Distinguished Fellow of the Royal United Services Institute and former Director General for Strategy and Security Policy in the UK Ministry of Defence, London

21:00 Uhr

Informal get together

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* invited

** preliminary confirmed

Donnerstag, 09.10.2025

08:30 Uhr

Breakfast

09:30 Uhr

BROAD PICTURE TALK | If not Global Zero, then What? Are We Losing Sight of Nuclear Disarmament and Interim Steps on the Way?

Ian ANTHONY, Department for Defence Analysis, Strategy and Policy Section at FOI (Swedish Defence Research Agency) and Member of the International Group of Eminent Persons for a World Without Nuclear Weapons, Stockholm

Michael RÜHLE, former Head of Section, “Climate, Energy Security and Hybrid Threats“ at the Emerging Security Challenges Division, NATO Headquarter, Brussel

Susi SNYDER, Programme Coordinator, International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN), Geneva

10:45 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

11:00 Uhr

BREAKOUT SESSION PART 1 | Crucial Nuclear Policy Issues – Especially for European Have-Nots

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FORUM I | The Uncertain Adventure of Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-Proliferation – What Role for the Europeans?

Tytti ERÄSTÖ, Senior Researcher, Weapons of Mass Destruction Program, SIPRI (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute), Solna

Oliver MEIER, Policy & Research Director, European Leadership Network, Berlin/London


Moderation: Tong ZHAO, Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, Washington D.C./Beijing

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FORUM II | Disruptive? Exploring the Links between Technological Innovation and Future Nuclear (In)Stability

Alice SALTINI, AI-Nuclear Policy Advisor, Institute for Security and Technology; Non-Resident Expert on Artificial Intelligence, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies

Paul VAN HOOFT, Research Leader, Defence and Security, RAND Europe, The Hague


Moderation: Max SCHALZ, Physicist and Researcher at the Nuclear Verification and Disarmament Research Group, RWTH Aachen University

12:30 Uhr

Lunch

13:20 Uhr

Sight Seeing Tour Monastery

15:00 Uhr

Coffee & Cake Break (at the Dining Hall)

15:30 Uhr

POLICY PANEL | The Future of Iran’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Program – What Role for the Europeans?

Stephan KLEMENT, Special Envoy Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, Special Adviser on Iran Nuclear Issues, EEAS, Brussels

Mailys MANGIN, Senior Researcher, Centre Interdisciplinaire Sur Les Enjeux Stratégiques (CIENS), Paris

Farzan SABET, Managing Researcher of the Sanctions and Sustainable Peace Hub, Geneva Graduate Institute, Geneva

16:45 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

17:00 Uhr

BREAKOUT SESSION PART 2 | Discussion in Parallel Forums will be continued

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FORUM III | Bridging the Gaps: Gender, Youth, Global South – How to Increase Inclusiveness in Nuclear Discourse and Decision Making?

Jana BALDUS, Policy Fellow at the European Leadership Network (ELN) and Associated Researcher, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), London

Carmen WUNDERLICH, Senior Researcher, Institute for Development and Peace (INEF) at University of Duisburg-Essen and Research Fellow at the Peace Research Center Prague (PRCP)


Moderation: Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Protestant Academy Loccum

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FORUM IV | Entry Ticket to the Strategic Competition? Missile Defense and Conventional Deep Strike Capabilities

Frank KUHN, Doctoral Researcher, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), Frankfurt a.M.

Etienne MARCUZ, Associate Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique (FRS), Paris


Moderation: Alexander SORG, Eisenhower Fellow, NATO Defense College, Rom

18:30 Uhr

Dinner

19:30 Uhr

BROAD PICTURE TALK | Nuclear Deterrence – Ethical Responsibility or Misconduct?

Michael HASPEL, Research Fellow, Martin-Luther Institute and Professor for Systematic Theology at the Friedrich-Schiller University Jena

Thomas HAJNOCZI, Advisor to Mayors for Peace, Board Member of BASIC and Former Director for Disarmament, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation at the Austrian Foreign Office, Vienna

Lauren SUKIN, John G. Winant Associate Professor of U.S. Foreign Policy in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Oxford

21:00 Uhr

Informal get together

-

* invited

** preliminary confirmed

Freitag, 10.10.2025

08:30 Uhr

Breakfast

09:30 Uhr

BREAKOUT SESSION PART 3 | Discussion in Parallel Forums will be continued

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FORUM V | Deterrence and Nuclear Sharing in the European Way

Artur KACPRZYK, Senior Analyst, International Security Programme, Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM), Warsaw

Iryna MAKSYMENKO, Senior Researcher at the Odesa Center for Nonproliferation (OdCNP), Odesa


Moderation: Tytti ERÄSTÖ, Senior Researcher, Weapons of Mass Destruction Program, SIPRI (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute), Solna

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FORUM VI | The People and the Bomb – Popular Views on Atomic Weapons and Different Ways to Increase Nuclear IQ

Matthias MADER, Visiting Professor of International Political Studies, University Witten/Herdecke

Alexander SORG, Eisenhower Fellow, NATO Defense College, Rom


Moderation: Jana Baldus, Policy Fellow at the European Leadership Network (ELN) and Associated Researcher, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), London

11:00 Uhr

Coffee & Tea Break

11:15 Uhr

CONCLUDING POLICY PANEL | What Future Role for European Nuclear Have-Nots?

Klaus DE RIJK, Senior Strategic Advisor, Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs, The Hague

Marian LOSSE, Board Member, ICAN Germany (International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons), Berlin

Katrin SHIMIZU, Deputy Head of Division, Nuclear Disarmament, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, German Foreign Office, Berlin

12:30 Uhr

Farwell Lunch

12:50 Uhr

Shuttle to Train Station / Airport

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* invited

** preliminary confirmed