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AT THE EDGE?

How Europe Should Respond to Nuclear Threats

01.06.2026 - 03.06.2026

Thema

Europe is confronted with a newly emerging nuclear order. With Russia’s ongoing nuclear saber-rattling, growing arsenals in China, and modernization of atomic weapons programs underway among larger and smaller nuclear powers, the danger of nuclear threats is once again at the forefront of everyone’s minds. Having lingered in the background since the end of the Cold War, nuclear weapons are once again at the centre of international relations, with Europe at the heart of this development. This comes at a time when the transatlantic relationship is cooling rapidly, which is also affecting the traditional US extended deterrence for Europe.

Therefore, calls for credible deterrence in Europe are growing louder, as are demands for increased efforts to reduce nuclear risk. At the same time, initiatives continue to work towards complete nuclear disarmament. So, what is the best way to address the growing nuclear threat in Europe?

The Loccum Nuclear Conference is an established format dating back to the early 80s that brings together nuclear weapons experts, practitioners and activists from across Europe to assess and evaluate the current situation. The conference aims to provide a forum that fosters innovative policy ideas to reduce threats and risks, and to give the different constituencies in the field of nuclear policy a chance to exchange their varying perspectives in a productive atmosphere.

The public workshop brings together actors from different walks of life who are all united by the fact that they are interested in the subject of the conference. However, this setting requires that we strictly follow the Chatham House rule – meaning that it is an off-camera/record and no personalized notetaking event. The working language is English. This is a draft program and may be subject to change.

 

Montag, 01.06.2026
13:25 Uhr
Shuttle Bus from train station Wunstorf

14:00 Uhr
Check in

14:30 Uhr
Words of Welcome

14:45 Uhr
KICK-OFF TALK | The New Nuclear Age: Risks, Realities, and the Road Ahead

Ankit PANDA, Stanton Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington D.C.

15:30 Uhr
Coffee & Cake Break (at the Dining Hall)

16:00 Uhr
Discussion continues

16:45 Uhr
Break

17:00 Uhr
POLICY PANEL | The Big Three: Decoding the Nuclear Policies of Russia, China and the United States from a European Perspective

INSIGHTS INTO THE SITUATION …

…FROM BEIJING
Jiang Tianjiao, Associate Professor at the Development Institute, Fudan University and Deputy Director at the Center for BRICS Studies, Visiting Scholar at Yale Law School, Shanghai (online)

… FROM WASHINGTON
Nicole Grajewski, Nonresident Scholar, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Assistant Professor at the Centre de Recherches Internationales (CERI), Paris/Washington D.C.

…AND FROM MOSCOW
Andrey Baklitskiy, Senior Researcher, Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme, UNIDIR (United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research), Geneva

18:30 Uhr
Dinner

19:30 Uhr
POLICY PANEL | Doing It the European Way? Nuclear Deterrence in Europe in Light of Declining US Commitment: Perspectives from France and the UK

Mélanie ROSSELET, Senior Advisor, Policy Planning Division, French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Associate Fellow at CIENS/ENS UIm and former Director of Strategic Analysis at CEA, Paris
Peter WATKINS, Visiting Professor, School of Security Studies at King’s College and Former Director General (2014-18) at the UK Ministry of Defence, London

21:00 Uhr
Informal get together

-

* = invited
** = preliminary confirmed

Dienstag, 02.06.2026
08:15 Uhr
Invitation to Morning Prayer

08:30 Uhr
Breakfast

09:30 Uhr
BROAD PICTURE TALK | What Happened to Global Zero: Did We lose Sight of Nuclear Disarmament?

Juliane HAUSCHULZ, Board Member, ICAN Germany (International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons) and IPPNW Germany (International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War), Berlin
Hans KRISTENSEN, Director, Nuclear Information Project, Federation of American Scientists, Washington D.C.
Paul VAN HOOFT, Research Leader, Defence and Security, RAND Europe, The Hague (online)

10:45 Uhr
Coffee & Tea Break

11:00 Uhr
BREAKOUT SESSION PART 1 | Crucial Nuclear Policy Issues – Especially for European Have-Nots

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Forum I: Still Room for Contribution? How Could Europe Add To Nuclear Risk Minimization and Arms Control

Tarja CRONBERG, Distinguished Associate Fellow, SIPRI, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Solna
Oliver MEIER, Head of Programme on Nuclear and Multilateral Disarmament, European Leadership Network, Berlin/London
Moderation: Linda OSTERMANN, Research Associate, Human Technology Center (HumTec) at RWTH Aachen University

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Forum II: Disruptive? Exploring the Links between Technological Innovation and Future Nuclear (In)Stability?

Eleni EKMEKTSIOGLOU, Policy Fellow, on Risk Reduction, Emerging Technologies and Nuclear Strategy, BASIC (British American Security Information Council), London/Paris
Tristan VOLPE, Senior Researcher, Arms Control and Emerging Technologies Project, Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH), and Associate Professor at the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey/Berlin
Moderation: Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Protestant Academy Loccum

12:30 Uhr
Lunch

13:20 Uhr
Sight Seeing Tour Monastery (Meeting Point at the Reception)

15:00 Uhr
Coffee & Cake Break (at the Dining Hall)

15:30 Uhr
BREAKOUT SESSION PART 2 | Crucial Nuclear Policy Issues – Especially for European Have-Nots

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Forum III: Potential Nuclear Flashpoints in Europe and the Future of (Un)conventional Escalation Management

Ulrich KÜHN, Head, “Arms Control and Emerging Technologies”, Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH), Hamburg
Polina SINOVETS, Head of the Odessa Center for Non-Proliferation (OdCNP) and Associate Professor at the Department of International Relations, Odessa
Moderation: Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Protestant Academy Loccum

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Forum IV: A Gap too Wide? How to Bridge the Growing Divide Between Different Constituencies in the Nuclear Field

Jana BALDUS, Policy Fellow at the European Leadership Network (ELN) and Associated Researcher, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), London
Jean-Marie COLLIN, Associate Researcher in the Group for Research and Information on Peace and Security (GRIP) and Spokesman of ICAN France, Paris
Moderation: Davis ELLISON, Strategic Analyst and Chair of the Initiative on the Future of Transatlantic Relations, The Hague Center for Strategic Studies (HCSS), The Hague

17:00 Uhr
Coffee & Tea Break

17:15 Uhr
OUT OF THE BOX SESSION | Discussing Innovative Ideas of Relevance in Future Nuclear Policy (in parallel Breakout Groups)

In this interactive part, we will break up into small groups in a mini open space-like setting to discuss innovative, out-of-the-box topics related to the future of nuclear policy.

18:30 Uhr
Dinner

19:30 Uhr
EVENING TALK| The Future of Iran’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Program – What Role for the Europeans?

Stephan KLEMENT, Special Envoy Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, Special Adviser on Iran Nuclear Issues, EEAS, Brussels
Azadeh ZAMIRIRAD, Head, Africa & Middle East Research Division, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), Berlin

20:45 Uhr
Informal Come Together

-

* = invited
** = preliminary confirmed

Mittwoch, 03.06.2026
08:30 Uhr
Breakfast

09:30 Uhr
BREAKOUT SESSION PART 3 | Discussion in Parallel Forums will be continued

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Forum V: Atomic Options Avanceé? Deterrence and Nuclear Sharing in the European Way

Héloïse FAYET, Research Fellow and Head, Deterrence & Proliferation Research Program, Institut Français des Relations Internationales, Paris
Oliver THRÄNERT, Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Research Division, International Security, German Institute for International and Security Policy (SWP), Berlin
Moderation: Lucian BUMEDER, Researcher, Arms Control and Emerging Technologies Research Group, Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH), Hamburg

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Forum VI: No Fear of the “Fear Debate”: How to Debate Deterrence including its (Un)Ethical Implications in the Wider Public?

Astrid KAUSE, Junior Professor of Sustainability Science and Psychology, University Leuphana, Lüneburg
Michal ONDERCO, Professor of International Relations in the Department of Public Administration and Sociology at Erasmus University Rotterdam
Moderation: Thomas MÜLLER-FÄRBER, Protestant Academy Loccum

11:00 Uhr
Coffee & Tea Break

11:15 Uhr
CONCLUDING PANEL | What Future Role for European Nuclear Have-Nots?

Nassima BARROWS, Acting Director of Nuclear Policy at NATO, Brussels
Giorgio FRANCESCHINI, Nuclear Expert, Division OR09 (Nuclear Arms Control, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament), German Foreign Office, Berlin
Thomas HAJNOCZI, Advisor to Mayors for Peace, Board Member of BASIC and Former Director for Disarmament, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation at the Austrian Foreign Office, Vienna
Krzysztof WĄSOWSKI, Department of Strategy, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Republic of Poland, Warsaw

12:30 Uhr
Farwell Lunch

12:50 Uhr
Shuttle to Train Station/ Airport

-

* = invited
** = preliminary confirmed